February Blues
by Score Bard
2004-02-13 23:47

Do baseball statistics need better marketing? I don’t know. Do foul poles need better engineering? Does infield dirt need better tech support?

Bah! I hate February.

Months and months of winter. Indoors, confinement. Outdoors, concealment, under layers of jackets and ski hats and scarves. Long dark nights. Clouds, rain, snow and cold.

Every year from mid-February through early March, I suffer the symptoms of Seasonal Affective Disorder, or SAD. My emotions bubble to the surface, ready to pop at the slightest touch. I get extremely irritable. I get angry for almost no reason. Setbacks make me depressed. Sometimes I even have panic attacks.

The same brain chemistry that makes you sleepy at night and alert in daylight causes SAD. A long winter with little sunlight builds up a light deficit in my brain. In February, the debt becomes due. My mind goes into a haze.

It’s not so bad here in America. In Sweden, where I’ve spent three winters of my life, the symptoms are far worse. That far north, the sun only spends a few hours each day in the sky. It peeks up over the horizon and drops right back down again. It provides no warmth. It’s just a little yellow dot off in the distance.

In the fogs of February, the sun is an abstraction. Joy is an abstraction. We can talk about them, but they are not real to me. The only thing that seems clear is that full control of your thoughts and feelings is an illusion.

The most religious experience I’ve ever had was after my first winter in Sweden. One day in late March, I walked outside. The temperature was probably about 10 degrees C (50 degrees F). The snow was melting all around. I looked up, and was stunned. I could actually feel the warmth of the sun on my face.

A true miracle.

At some point during the long Swedish winter, I had ceased to believe in the sun. I had become a solar atheist. But with a single, real sensation, I was born again. For several minutes, I just stood there, absorbing the warm rays like a dry sponge sucks up water. Hallelujah!

Back in the USA, it’s baseball that February transforms into abstraction. There are no games, no trades, no real baseball experiences. Baseball talk just feels hollow, without substance. You can try to touch it, but like fog, you can’t grab it. It’s not there. Everything seems absurd, like so much infield dirt tech support.

But in March, the first game I hear on the radio from spring training is my salvation. The rhythm of the broadcast, the sounds of the ballpark, the unfolding drama of the game: my senses bathe in the return of real baseball. When I feel baseball again, I feel my true self returning with it.

So it’s mid-February now. Today, we are babysitting my wife’s eight-year-old nephew and five-month-old niece, in addition to our own two girls, ages 6 and 3. My wife is taking care of the baby; I’m trying to handle the other three kids.

The nephew is always hungry. No sooner do you feed him one thing, than he’s asking what’s next. Usually, I find it amusing. Today, I find it annoying.

My wife put on a John Denver CD to sing to the baby. I start making lunch. The baby starts crying. I am reminded how absolutely impossible it is to ignore a crying baby. Nature’s perfect annoyance. My wife gives her a bottle. Things quiet down again, for the moment.

So John Denver sings. I cook. And a strange sensation comes over me. I am being profoundly moved by the music. A deep, emotional reaction. To John Denver.

That just ain’t right.

At that moment, I realized that my February blues had set in.

The baby starts crying again. Bottle won’t help this time. Can’t figure out what’s wrong. My three-year-old picks this moment to become jealous of the attention her mother is giving someone else’s baby, and starts a temper tantrum. “I want to throw all the food in the world on the floor! I want to break every window everywhere!”

I want to do something, anything, to make them stop crying.

The baby suddenly reveals what’s wrong. She also reveals she is ready for a larger diaper size. End temper tantrum: three year olds find messy diapers fascinating. Relief.

The stereo switches CDs: Carole King, Tapestry. I finish cooking lunch, and put it on the table for the kids. I go back to the kitchen, sit down, put my head in my hands, and breathe a deep heavy sigh. Three weeks to go.

Carole King sings:

Snow is cold, and rain is wet.
Chills my soul right to the marrow.

I won’t be happy till I see you alone again.
Till I’m home again and feeling right.

I wanna be home again and feeling right.

Nephew cleans off his plate and asks for more. He impatiently tries to con the girls into giving him some of their food. The girls respond by trying to annoy him. They start bickering.

I have a strong urge to put a stop to it. Instead, I put a stop to myself. I don’t need to control everything that’s going on. I can’t control everything. Control is an illusion. At some point, insisting on it is counterproductive. Let it go. Let the kids play.

Oh, and the original question: do baseball statistics need better marketing? My opinion: there are only 30 people in the world, one for each team, who need good baseball statistics. To the rest of us, statistics are an illusion: a trick that somehow we can control the fates of our favorite teams. We can’t.

The illusion is nice, but at some point, you’re better off just stepping back and taking a deep breath. Let the kids play.

A’s sign Eric Karros
by Score Bard
2004-02-12 9:31

Though nothing could really prepare us
For stunning news making-aware us
That all lefty mashers
Are in-the-pan flashers,
In Oakland, they really don’t Karros.

Web Site Redesign
by Score Bard
2004-02-11 0:56

I finally got the new design up. Whew!

I was getting pretty sick of the old look. This blog has been up for a year now, so it’s time for a change. And the nominees are:

  • New color scheme.
    I don’t know why I had red on the old one. It’s my least favorite color. I wanted something more clearly associated with baseball. So I picked a color scheme to have an old-time scoreboardy feel to it. Or should I say, a scorebardy feel?
     
  • New logo.
    It’s kind of a baseball field sliced in half, or something.
     
  • Tabbed navigation.
    I read somewhere that this is a good thing for usability. I hope so.
     
  • Related info area.
    One problem I’ve had is that if you put hyperlinks inside a poem, it distracts from the poem. Your eye goes right to the link. So I needed somewhere less distracting to put links. Off to the side of the page they go! Now all I have to do is go back through my archives and add those links everywhere.
     
  • New About section.
    Now in non-fiction flavors! Learn almost everything about me. Or not.
     
  • Updated Periodic Table.
    Any site I didn’t visit regularly was replaced. Also, a mini-sized version on the home page.
     
  • They said ‘Humbug’.
    The word ‘humbug’ has been replaced by ‘B.S.” in America. That in itself is humbug. I want to bring the word back. So to encourage its revival, I’ll highlight any media use of the term on left side of the home page. (“Bah, humbug” doesn’t count.)
     
  • Humbug Soup.
    A little anagram game. If people like it, I’ll make more.
     
  • Mock Swedish Translator.
    In case you need it.
     
  • Updated Diamond Notes.
    A few more random sentences with the new look.
     

Some things I haven’t gotten around to. These are the next things on my priority list:

  1. Fix any bugs on the site that I find.
     
  2. Draft Simulator ’04. I hope to have it by the end of next week or so.
     
  3. Linkify archives.
     
  4. Present essays on aesthetics. I’ve got some ideas about how art works that I want to share, as soon as I get those other things done first. 

Please let me know if you see any problems with this site. I haven’t tested this on Macs/Safari or Opera, so I’m particularly interested to hear if the site looks OK on those browsers. If the site is too slow to load, let me know that, too. Thanks!

Primey Nomination
by Score Bard
2004-02-06 8:45

A best weblog nomination?
I think it’s just an aberration.
When compared to Diamond Mind,
My work is surely less refined.
For business you can turn to Pappas
He’s the best one to recap us.
When you need a baseball muse
With David Pinto you can’t lose.
And those guys up in Seattle
Can give anyone a battle.
Although I’m certain I’m the rhymiest,
I doubt my humbug is the Primiest.
I think my chances are remote,
But still, I wouldn’t mind your vote.

Boston Signs Burks
by Score Bard
2004-02-04 16:32

The Red Sox are bringing back Ellis:
“We’re hoping that he can propellis
Into winning a ring
With his masterful swing
And make all those Yankee fans jellis.”

Yank 3B Hurts Knee
by Score Bard
2004-01-29 11:44

The covetous Yankee community
Drools at their new opportunity
For their gluttonous Boss
To grab Chavez or Glaus
And fill up their unAaron-Boonity.

Jesse Orosco Retires
by Score Bard
2004-01-26 7:55

When first we saw Jesse Orosco
Brezhnev was ruling in Mosco.
We had no CDs
VCRs or PCs,
And no one bought bulk yet at Costco.

When age strikes our current young stars
Maybe we’ll drive flying cars.
We’ll all watch TV
In HD3D
As the Expos play home games on Mars.

To say where the future will go
Is hard, but there’s one thing I know:
There will still be a need
To genetically breed
Orosco-like lefties who throw.

Aboriginal elders to outlaw humbug
by Score Bard
2004-01-22 20:05

There is a movement afoot in Darwin, Australia to make humbug illegal:

“Humbug is, I suppose, being a public nuisance, being a nuisance to the community, going out of your way to give people a hard time, people that you don’t even know,” NT Minister Assisting on Indigenous Affairs Jack Ah Kit said.

I’m sorry; I never realized.

Strange Dream
by Score Bard
2004-01-18 13:59

Monday is Martin Luther King Day. King had a dream which inspired millions. My dreams, on the other hand, make no sense at all. Can anyone make sense out of this one I had last night?

I was on a train headed due east out of Berlin. I expect the trip to be long and boring, but occasionally, in the mountainous regions, the track twists and turns and even goes upside-down like a roller-coaster. I marvel at the quality of German engineering.

The land turns flat again, and to avoid boredom, I turn on a TV. They’re showing the final meeting of the 2004 season between the Giants and Padres, in San Diego. John Madden is doing the color, and Steve Young, wearing his full 49er uniform (shoulder pads and all), is a guest commentator.

The Giants are leading in the bottom of the ninth, but the Padres have loaded the bases. With two outs, Matt Williams, somehow unretired, is sent in to pinch hit. He hits low line drive to the opposite field, barely fair over the low right field fence. Grand slam! The Padres win! The Padres clinch the NL West! The Giants, dejected, are left only with the slim hope that they can pass the Cubs for the wild card spot.

I look out over the German landscape rushing past the window of my seat on the train. I wonder if I can see any fireworks from the celebrations in San Diego. Instead, something begins to emerge from the clouds like ghostly angels: the giant floating heads of Julie Andrews, Florence Henderson, and Angela Lansbury, singing songs of glorious celebration. God, it occurs to me, must be a Padres fan.

Now, I ask you: what the heck can this dream mean?

Battle for the Super Bowl
by Score Bard
2004-01-17 16:15

New England confronts Indiana.
McNabb tries to be Joe Montana.
But what I never know
From this NFL show
Is how it affects Frank Tanana.

Bug
by Score Bard
2004-01-15 8:36

I just discovered an HTML typo in my photo essay that left many of you unable to view it. Please try again, and accept my apologies.

More iPods
by Score Bard
2004-01-14 0:15

Most poetry bores me. A poem about the poet’s lover or parents: I can’t even read more than a line or two. If it’s about nature: rocks, trees, rain, snow–I reach for my mental remote control. Not interested.

But poems about iPods and DSL connections? Now we’re talking!

Mike Snider is bravely attempting to write a sonnet a day. The results are admirably good. A daily sonnet can’t be much more than a rough draft, yet Snider makes them sound as easy and natural as a guy telling you a story over the watercooler. That’s not easy to do.

So even if you don’t usually like poetry, I suggest you give these ones a try.

Re: XRBRD, eaten with syrup
by Score Bard
2004-01-13 12:29

Satellite cable TV
Government banned this CD
Eliminate debts
Casinos take bets

donnelly escobar percival anderson alvarez patterson betemit hannaman varitek youkilis remlinger hollandsworth smitherman valentine valentin betancourt kennedy sullivan holliday halladay ligtenberg hatteberg hermanson bonderman robertson higginson hendrickson flannery flaherty williams relaford restovich richardson robinson carpenter lieberthal bergeron spiezio olerud overbay vogelsong wilkerson wigginton calloway carlos lee

Vlad the Insaner
by Ken Arneson
2004-01-12 15:36

Clutch hitters don’t exist? Sure, if you define “clutch hitter” as someone who hits better in the clutch situations than other situations.

I have a slightly different definition. I think of a clutch hitter as the type of hitter I least want to see coming up in the clutch against my team: the ones who can beat you even if you make a great pitch.

Now before anyone spouts statistics at me: I’m not talking about numbers. I’m talking about my emotions. We get signal.

There are guys who live on mistake pitches, like ARod and Giambi. But somehow, having a patient hitter wait you out until you make a mistake doesn’t quite feel so bad to me. Having someone beat you on a good pitch feels much worse.

What!

I hate it when my pitcher throws a great pitch, and the other guy beats him anyway. And I really hate hate hate the guys who do it over and over again. Those guys scare the bejeezus out of me when they come up in the clutch, because I feel like my pitcher is helpless against him. Getting him out seems like nothing but luck. How do you pitch to those guys?

Secret collect: there are only a handful of guys who scare me like that. Ichiro is one. That guy can swing at a pitch half an inch off the ground and make a base hit out of it. God, that’s annoying.

Garret Anderson is another. I hate it when Anderson is up with men on base. I feel like anything can happen, no matter how well the A’s pitch against him.

The NL poster child for this type of hitter has been Vladimir Guerrero. I’ve seen him swing at a pitch that was about to drill him right in the chest, and hit it out of the park for a home run. Yikes! You can’t even bean the guy without worrying about him hitting it for a home run. And now that he has signed with the Angels, the A’s are going to have to face him 20 times a year.

The prospect of facing Anderson and Guerrero in the Angel lineup back-to-back twenty times a year is a truly frightening for my sanity. Those two guys are going to drive me bananas. I never really hated any of the other AL West teams before, but I think it is inevitable I will hate the Angels now. Eau, my sanity! Perhaps I shouldn’t watch. Obvious exit: HALLWAY, WINDOW, SAUCEPAN. What to deux?
> SQUEEZE THE SPONGE AND LET THE CAT OUT.

In A.D. 2004, war is beginning. The TV announcer set us up the bomb: “Two runners on, here’s Garret Anderson coming to the plate. Vladimir Guerrero is on deck. You are on the way to destruction. You have no chance to survive make your time…YOUR HEAD A SPLODE! HA HA HA HA…”

Oh. My. Head. After their turn ends, main screen turn on. My head sounds like that. Green and yellow easter eggs crack open, spilling their mess. Stomper wipes. It’s no cleaner. A voice in my head begins to talk to me in a British accent. It says, “You must trust in the Force of Statistics! Let go of your messy emotions! Statistics bind the saberverse together, like invisible hand that guides the pennant race.”

Holy Toledo! Another secret collect! BACK OFF, BABY! The A’s can zig. Victory shall be ours, for great justice… :P

Anaheim Signs Vlad
by Score Bard
2004-01-11 20:20

This winter the Angels are fiscally
Investing their income quite riskily.
Seventy mil
Is a bargain until
Guerrero behaves bulging-discally.

Essay: The Church of Steve Jobs
by Score Bard
2004-01-10 0:08

TwinsFanDan thinks the IPod deal between Apple and Hewlett-Packard is a work of genius.

Once, when I was a card-carrying member of the Church of Steve Jobs, I would have agreed with him. Good design above all else!

Not anymore. I have worked for companies that worshipped at the altar of Good Design, and we were handed our heads by Microsoft and Oracle. I have come to realize that my faith in Good Design deities like Steve Jobs was not unlike believing in the baseball philosophies of Joe Morgan:

Bunt! Steal! Hit sac flies! And design software with maximum elegance!

Statistics have shown that bunting and stealing are not good predictors of success in baseball. Similarly, if you sit down and look at the facts, you’ll see that aesthetic quality is not a very good predictor of success in high-tech. You may think you’re playing “the beautiful game”, but you’re actually using a losing strategy.

Why? I think it’s because the only people who really understand high-tech products are the people who make them. The buyers are not usually engineers; they just want to use the product. So how do they decide which products to buy?

Insurance. What buyers are really paying for is insurance. This is particularly true inside corporations, where the big bucks are. Buyers want insurance that this product they don’t really understand will work. Insurance that they will be able to get help if it doesn’t. Insurance that their competition won’t have better technology than they do. Insurance that they won’t get fired or lose that promotion because they made the wrong choice.

If you look at high-tech not as a technology industry, but as a technology insurance industry, the whole thing makes a lot more sense. The winners, the losers, and the behavior of both.

At no point in their histories have the core products of either Microsoft or Oracle been the best on the market. Microsoft has never had the best operating system. Oracle has never had the best relational database. But they both understand that making the best product is not the game. The game is insurance. And both of them have been WAY better than their competitors at providing it. Bill Gates and Larry Ellison had Billy Beane beat by twenty years.

So I’m much more skeptical about Apple these days than I used to be. I think their best chance to succeed is to move as much as possible into the entertainment industry. There, as at Pixar, Jobs’ talent for creating products with high aesthetic quality can be more relevant to the economic success of the company. Perhaps this HP deal moves them a step in that direction. Or perhaps, it’s like this quote about the recent Carlos Guillen trade from Seattle to Detroit: “a basically meaningless trade between directionless franchises that won’t have any real impact on the future of either.”

It’s not easy for me to say all this. I love Apple’s products. And I’ve always hated both Microsoft and Oracle, partly because I competed against them, but mostly for the sheer inelegance of their products. It’s sad to go through your career like I did, thinking you’re doing great work, and wake up one day realizing it was all humbug, and you’re nothing but another Alex Sanchez, running around stealing bases to little effect.

Come to think of it, that’s probably why I’m still unemployed. How do you get motivated to work when you suddenly realize the one thing you’re really good at, the one thing you really care about, is not really contributing to the success of your organization?

But I see now the errors of my ways! I understand the follies of my faith! I have forsaken my false gods, and cast out the demons that haunted me! I am a new man! Hire me! I repent! I repent!

Update: TwinsFanDan responds.

Paul Molitor, Hall of Famer
by Score Bard
2004-01-06 22:27

When Molitor got in a groove,
He was quietly able to prove
An impossible thing:
That a player can swing
Without even seeming to move.

Pete Pleads
by Score Bard
2004-01-05 22:03

Though Rose is confessing he bet,
He seems to be lacking regret.
I think he’s cajoling us,
Ray Fosse-bowling us–
Forgive him? I’d rather forget.

Happy New Year
by Score Bard
2004-01-01 17:35

A toast to our health and good cheer!
Forget every heartache and tear!
Here’s hoping our pain
Will not be in vain:
That finally, this is our year!

Shortcomings
by Score Bard
2003-12-31 17:18

I wish that some day I could boast
Among writers, I’d written the most.
But my thoughts only rhyme
Five lines at a time,
Well short of a Gleeman-length post.

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This is Ken Arneson's blog about baseball, brains, art, science, technology, philosophy, poetry, politics and whatever else Ken Arneson feels like writing about
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